Man its construction index (HDI) is a composite index that includes three basic dimensions of human development are assessed reflect the status of the basic capabilities of the health, educational achievement, and purchasing power. In this research the HDI classified/classified into two, namely low and medium to medium high. In the data found that similarity between the HDI value of adjacent area geographically that resulted in the classification of the adjacent territories of the HDI is the same. This is allegedly due to dependencies/relationship relationships between regions. From the discussion above, then the data of the HDI in this study is based on a spatial probit regression method. This research aims to study the penaksir parameter which applicated on classification data in Java and HDI model the factors that affect the classification of the HDI in Java as well as determine the best model by using spatial autoregressive probit regression model. The selection of variables is done backward elimination, while parameter estimation is performed using the method of MCMC Bayesian approach with Gibbs sampler. Use the predictor variables, two of eight variables such that the variable percentage of the poor population and the average age of first marriage for women was statistically significant for inclusion in the model.
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