Anomali Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indones

Anomali Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia
Thesis
Di tengah kondisi perekonomian global yang dilanda krisis, catatan pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia memperlihatkan hasil positif. Pada triwulan kedua tahun ini dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun lalu, ekonomi Indonesia tumbuh sekitar 6,4 persen. Pertumbuhan ini tetap masih terpust di Pulau Jawa dengan pertumbuhan sebesar 57,5 persen. Jika diakumulasikan, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia semester I tahun 2012 lebih baik dibandingkan dengan semester I tahun 2011 yang tumbuh sekitar 6,3 persen.
Argumentation
Namun, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dianggap mengalami anomali. Hal ini diungkapkan oleh Salamuddin Daeng, pengamat ekonomi Indonesia for Global Justice. Beliau beralasan, pertumbuhan ekonomi ini tidak diikuti dengan peningkatan kesejahteraan masyarakat. Lebih lanjut daeng menjelaskan, sekurang-kurangnya ada empat faktor yang membuat ekonomi Indonesia mengalami anomali. Pertama, perekonomian Indonesia banyak digerakkan oleh utang asing yang nilainya terus naik. “Utang Indonesia mencapai Rp. 2.865 triliun. Utang asing pemerintah meningkat setiap tahunnya. Utang ini menjadi sumber penghasilan utama pemerintah dan menjadi pendorong tumbuhnya ekonomi Indonesia,” papar Daeng.
Kedua, peningkatan konsumsi masyarakat disinyalir ikut mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Konsumsi masyarakat yang meningkat bersumber dari harga sandang dan pangan yang mengalami kenaikan, serta ditopang oleh pertumbuhan kredit terutama kredit konsumsi. Ketiga, ekonomi Indonesia pertumbuhannya didorong oleh ekspor bahan mentah, misalnya hasil perkebunan, hutan, migas dan bahan tambang, sehingga kurang menciptakan nilai tambah dan lapangan pekerjaan. Faktor terakhir, ekonomi Indonesia pertumbuhannya didorong oleh investasi asing yang membuat sumber daya alam Indonesia makin dikuasai asing.
Sementara itu, A Tony Prasetiantono, Pengamat Ekonomi dari Universitas Gadjah Mada, berpendapat, pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia didukung oleh sektor domestik. Menurut beliau, efek krisis global melalui defisit neraca perdangan dan penurunan ekspor baru akan terasa pada kuartal ketiga dan keempat tahun ini. Beliau menganggap kontribusi ekspor terhadap PDB tidak besar.
Senada dengan itu, ekonom Mirza Adityaswara menyampaikan, bahwa sejumlah sector ekonomi dalam negeri tumbuh karena didukung oleh suku bunga rendah. Hal ini tampak dari pertumbuhan kredit yang mencapai 26-28 persen sekaligus didorong oleh harga BBM yang rendah karena masih disubsidi oleh pemerintah. Lebih lanjut diungkap Mirza, sektor yang berorientasi dalam negeri mengalami pertumbuhan tinggi, seperti otomotif, manufaktur, transportasi, komunikasi, dan perdagangan. Akibatnya, pertumbuhan sektor yang berorientasi dalam negeri mengakibatkan kecenderungan defisit neraca perdagangan yang semakin besar.
Restatement
Menurut Tony, belanja pemerintah yang lebih besar dan cepat juga sangat membantu pertumbuhan. Seiring hal itu, tingkat inflasi yang berada di bawah 5 persen cukup membantu, meskipun hal tersebut ada efeknya, yaitu nilai subsidi energi yang terus membengkak yang sebetulnya cenderung tidak sehat.

Hasil (Inggris) 1:

Indonesia's Economic Growth AnomalyThesisIn the midst of a global economy condition crisis hit Indonesia's economic growth, the record showed positive results. In the second quarter of this year compared with the same period of last year, Indonesia's economy grew about 6.4 percent. This growth remains still terpust in Java with the growth amounted to 57.5 percent. If the accumulated economic growth of Indonesia, the first half of the year 2012 is better compared to the first half of the year grew about 6.3 percent.ArgumentationHowever, Indonesia's economic growth is considered anomalous experience. This is revealed by Salamuddin Daeng, Indonesia's economic observer for Global Justice. He reasoned, economic growth is not followed by an increase in welfare of society. Further, at least explain daeng four factors that make Indonesia experienced an economic anomaly. First, Indonesia's economy is driven by many foreign debt whose value continues to rise. "Indonesia's debt reached Rp. 2,865 trillion. The Government's foreign debt increased every year. This debt became the main source of income of the Government and became the driving force of economic growth of Indonesia, "said Daeng. Secondly, an increase in Community consumption of allegedly taking part encourage Indonesia's economic growth. Community consumption which increased the price of clothing and food are rising, as well as sustained by loan growth especially credit consumption. Third, Indonesia's economic growth is driven by exports of raw materials, such as the results of oil and gas, forests, plantations and mines, resulting in less creates added value and jobs. The last factor, Indonesia's economic growth fueled by foreign investment that makes Indonesia the more natural resources controlled by foreigners.Meanwhile, A Tony Prasetiantono, the economic Observer from Gadjah Mada University, Indonesia's economic growth argued, supported by the domestic sector. According to him, the effects of the global crisis through the trading balance deficit and the decline in exports will be felt on the third and fourth quarter of this year. He considers the contribution of exports to GDP is not great.Similar with that of Mirza Adityaswara, Economist delivered, that a number of economic sectors in the country are growing because low interest rates supported by the. This appears to be from loan growth which reached 26-28 percent at once driven by low fuel prices because it is still subsidized by the Government. It further revealed that Mirza, domestic-oriented sectors experiencing growth is high, such as automotive, manufacturing, transportation, communications and trade. As a result, the growth in domestic-oriented sector resulted in a trade balance deficit trend getting bigger.RestatementAccording to Tony, greater government spending and rapid growth is also very helpful. As it was, the inflation rate is below 5 percent was quite helpful, though it is no effect, i.e. the value of energy subsidies that continue to swell that actually tends to be unsanitary.

Hasil (Inggris) 2:

Anomalies of Economic Growth in Indonesia
Thesis
Amidst the global economic crisis, Indonesia's economic growth record showed positive results. In the second quarter of this year compared with the same period last year, Indonesia's economy grew about 6.4 percent. This growth is still terpust in Java with a growth of 57.5 percent. If accumulated, Indonesia's economic growth in the first half of 2012 is better than the first half of 2011 were growing at about 6.3 percent.
Argumentation
However, economic growth in Indonesia is considered experienced an anomaly. This was disclosed by Salamuddin Daeng, an economic observer Indonesia for Global Justice. He argued that economic growth is not accompanied by an increase in social welfare. Furthermore Daeng explained, there are at least four factors that make the Indonesian economy experienced an anomaly. First, Indonesia's economy is driven by a lot of foreign debt whose value continues to rise. "Debt Indonesia reached Rp. 2,865 trillion. Government foreign debt is increasing every year. Debt has become the government's main source of income and drivers of economic growth of Indonesia, "said Daeng.
Secondly, the increase in private consumption was allegedly contributed to economic growth in Indonesia. Increased private consumption comes from food and clothing prices were increased, and supported by credit growth, especially consumer credit. Third, Indonesia's economic growth is driven by exports of raw materials, such as plantation crops, forests, oil and gas and minerals, making it less creating added value and jobs. The last factor, Indonesia's economic growth is driven by foreign investment in natural resources make Indonesia more dominated by foreigners.
Meanwhile, A Tony Prasetiantono, economic observer from Gadjah Mada University, argues, Indonesia's economic growth was supported by domestic sector. According to him, the effects of the global crisis through the trade balance deficit and the decline in exports will only be felt in the third and fourth quarters of this year. He considers the contribution of exports to GDP is not great.
In the same vein, economist Mirza Adityaswara convey, that a number of economic sectors in the country is growing because it is supported by low interest rates. This is evident from the credit growth reached 26-28 percent while driven by fuel prices are low because they are subsidized by the government. Furthermore revealed Mirza, the domestic-oriented sector has high growth, such as automotive, manufacturing, transportation, communications, and commerce. As a result, growth-oriented sectors in the country resulted in the tendency of trade deficit is getting bigger.
Restatement
According to Tony, greater government spending and faster growth is also very helpful. As it is, the inflation rate is under 5 percent is quite helpful, although it is no effect, ie the value of energy subsidies that continue to swell which actually tend to be healthy.